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Intuitiva #306
It’s not unusual to encounter conflicting weather reports. One site says it’s going to rain, the other insists it won’t.
On the other hand, you don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows. It’s sunny, right now, you can tell. A weather service that said it was raining would deserve to lose all trust and respect.
And yesterday’s weather? It’s really not up for debate.
It’s easier than ever to find an audience for predictions and to insist that you have real insight into the future.
But a resilient way to earn trust is to acknowledge the present and not to rewrite the past.
